Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 10:30 AM, 114 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 204,162 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 136,089 - 259,766). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:30 AM | 2659 |
c(2.5% = 1888)
|
c(97.5% = 3154)
|
| 02 | 10:30 AM | 4290 |
c(2.5% = 3275)
|
c(97.5% = 4948)
|
| 03 | 10:30 AM | 2635 |
c(2.5% = 1678)
|
c(97.5% = 3416)
|
| 04 | 10:30 AM | 2697 |
c(2.5% = 1676)
|
c(97.5% = 3620)
|
| 05 | 10:30 AM | 6321 |
c(2.5% = 4746)
|
c(97.5% = 7395)
|
| 06 | 10:30 AM | 1773 |
c(2.5% = 1174)
|
c(97.5% = 2263)
|
| 07 | 10:30 AM | 2003 |
c(2.5% = 886)
|
c(97.5% = 3449)
|
| 08 | 10:30 AM | 6036 |
c(2.5% = 4630)
|
c(97.5% = 6967)
|
| 09 | 10:30 AM | 2899 |
c(2.5% = 2004)
|
c(97.5% = 3469)
|
| 10 | 10:30 AM | 3824 |
c(2.5% = 2525)
|
c(97.5% = 4895)
|
| 11 | 10:30 AM | 1732 |
c(2.5% = 1055)
|
c(97.5% = 2371)
|
| 12 | 10:30 AM | 2916 |
c(2.5% = 1867)
|
c(97.5% = 3829)
|
| 13 | 10:30 AM | 2650 |
c(2.5% = 1667)
|
c(97.5% = 3547)
|
| 14 | 10:30 AM | 1128 |
c(2.5% = 765)
|
c(97.5% = 1422)
|
| 15 | 10:30 AM | 3087 |
c(2.5% = 2322)
|
c(97.5% = 3693)
|
| 16 | 10:30 AM | 1470 |
c(2.5% = 862)
|
c(97.5% = 2059)
|
| 17 | 10:30 AM | 3223 |
c(2.5% = 2057)
|
c(97.5% = 4268)
|
| 18 | 10:30 AM | 2614 |
c(2.5% = 1905)
|
c(97.5% = 3082)
|
| 19 | 10:30 AM | 1456 |
c(2.5% = 723)
|
c(97.5% = 2253)
|
| 20 | 10:30 AM | 1356 |
c(2.5% = 771)
|
c(97.5% = 1946)
|
| 21 | 10:30 AM | 7178 |
c(2.5% = 5193)
|
c(97.5% = 8540)
|
| 22 | 10:30 AM | 3919 |
c(2.5% = 2701)
|
c(97.5% = 4806)
|
| 23 | 10:30 AM | 2485 |
c(2.5% = 1520)
|
c(97.5% = 3312)
|
| 24 | 10:30 AM | 2049 |
c(2.5% = 1302)
|
c(97.5% = 2618)
|
| 25 | 10:30 AM | 2059 |
c(2.5% = 1258)
|
c(97.5% = 2822)
|
| 26 | 10:30 AM | 2762 |
c(2.5% = 1977)
|
c(97.5% = 3230)
|
| 27 | 10:30 AM | 3578 |
c(2.5% = 2274)
|
c(97.5% = 4591)
|
| 28 | 10:30 AM | 1564 |
c(2.5% = 919)
|
c(97.5% = 2193)
|
| 29 | 10:30 AM | 1483 |
c(2.5% = 997)
|
c(97.5% = 1898)
|
| 30 | 10:30 AM | 2796 |
c(2.5% = 2154)
|
c(97.5% = 3307)
|
| 31 | 10:30 AM | 2323 |
c(2.5% = 1784)
|
c(97.5% = 2658)
|
| 32 | 10:30 AM | 2579 |
c(2.5% = 1512)
|
c(97.5% = 3574)
|
| 33 | 10:30 AM | 2274 |
c(2.5% = 1104)
|
c(97.5% = 3635)
|
| 34 | 10:30 AM | 5419 |
c(2.5% = 3647)
|
c(97.5% = 6891)
|
| 35 | 10:30 AM | 3778 |
c(2.5% = 2289)
|
c(97.5% = 5023)
|
| 36 | 10:30 AM | 4349 |
c(2.5% = 2915)
|
c(97.5% = 5341)
|
| 37 | 10:30 AM | 1682 |
c(2.5% = 963)
|
c(97.5% = 2382)
|
| 38 | 10:30 AM | 2693 |
c(2.5% = 1861)
|
c(97.5% = 3377)
|
| 39 | 10:30 AM | 5214 |
c(2.5% = 3724)
|
c(97.5% = 6180)
|
| 40 | 10:30 AM | 5702 |
c(2.5% = 3589)
|
c(97.5% = 7403)
|
| 41 | 10:30 AM | 2320 |
c(2.5% = 1407)
|
c(97.5% = 3248)
|
| 42 | 10:30 AM | 2995 |
c(2.5% = 1656)
|
c(97.5% = 4308)
|
| 43 | 10:30 AM | 2400 |
c(2.5% = 1238)
|
c(97.5% = 3650)
|
| 44 | 10:30 AM | 1813 |
c(2.5% = 1128)
|
c(97.5% = 2430)
|
| 45 | 10:30 AM | 2584 |
c(2.5% = 1617)
|
c(97.5% = 3497)
|
| 46 | 10:30 AM | 3278 |
c(2.5% = 2428)
|
c(97.5% = 4028)
|
| 47 | 10:30 AM | 1071 |
c(2.5% = 666)
|
c(97.5% = 1417)
|
| 48 | 10:30 AM | 2533 |
c(2.5% = 1625)
|
c(97.5% = 3226)
|
| 49 | 10:30 AM | 3274 |
c(2.5% = 2029)
|
c(97.5% = 4372)
|
| 50 | 10:30 AM | 4365 |
c(2.5% = 3025)
|
c(97.5% = 5431)
|
| 51 | 10:30 AM | 2906 |
c(2.5% = 1855)
|
c(97.5% = 3903)
|
| 52 | 10:30 AM | 3495 |
c(2.5% = 2384)
|
c(97.5% = 4403)
|
| 53 | 10:30 AM | 2599 |
c(2.5% = 1567)
|
c(97.5% = 3575)
|
| 54 | 10:30 AM | 1927 |
c(2.5% = 1081)
|
c(97.5% = 2741)
|
| 55 | 10:30 AM | 3026 |
c(2.5% = 1860)
|
c(97.5% = 4220)
|
| 56 | 10:30 AM | 4315 |
c(2.5% = 2811)
|
c(97.5% = 5637)
|
| 57 | 10:30 AM | 3678 |
c(2.5% = 2465)
|
c(97.5% = 4645)
|
| 58 | 10:30 AM | 6207 |
c(2.5% = 4072)
|
c(97.5% = 7923)
|
| 59 | 10:30 AM | 3078 |
c(2.5% = 2030)
|
c(97.5% = 3980)
|
| 60 | 10:30 AM | 2465 |
c(2.5% = 1618)
|
c(97.5% = 3215)
|
| 61 | 10:30 AM | 3803 |
c(2.5% = 2366)
|
c(97.5% = 4989)
|
| 62 | 10:30 AM | 2856 |
c(2.5% = 1653)
|
c(97.5% = 4039)
|
| 63 | 10:30 AM | 3466 |
c(2.5% = 2390)
|
c(97.5% = 4276)
|
| 64 | 10:30 AM | 2034 |
c(2.5% = 1287)
|
c(97.5% = 2750)
|
| 65 | 10:30 AM | 2890 |
c(2.5% = 1945)
|
c(97.5% = 3664)
|
| 66 | 10:30 AM | 6128 |
c(2.5% = 4069)
|
c(97.5% = 7734)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions