Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:30 AM, 114 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 204,162 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 136,089 - 259,766). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:30 AM 2659 c(2.5% = 1888) c(97.5% = 3154)
02 10:30 AM 4290 c(2.5% = 3275) c(97.5% = 4948)
03 10:30 AM 2635 c(2.5% = 1678) c(97.5% = 3416)
04 10:30 AM 2697 c(2.5% = 1676) c(97.5% = 3620)
05 10:30 AM 6321 c(2.5% = 4746) c(97.5% = 7395)
06 10:30 AM 1773 c(2.5% = 1174) c(97.5% = 2263)
07 10:30 AM 2003 c(2.5% = 886) c(97.5% = 3449)
08 10:30 AM 6036 c(2.5% = 4630) c(97.5% = 6967)
09 10:30 AM 2899 c(2.5% = 2004) c(97.5% = 3469)
10 10:30 AM 3824 c(2.5% = 2525) c(97.5% = 4895)
11 10:30 AM 1732 c(2.5% = 1055) c(97.5% = 2371)
12 10:30 AM 2916 c(2.5% = 1867) c(97.5% = 3829)
13 10:30 AM 2650 c(2.5% = 1667) c(97.5% = 3547)
14 10:30 AM 1128 c(2.5% = 765) c(97.5% = 1422)
15 10:30 AM 3087 c(2.5% = 2322) c(97.5% = 3693)
16 10:30 AM 1470 c(2.5% = 862) c(97.5% = 2059)
17 10:30 AM 3223 c(2.5% = 2057) c(97.5% = 4268)
18 10:30 AM 2614 c(2.5% = 1905) c(97.5% = 3082)
19 10:30 AM 1456 c(2.5% = 723) c(97.5% = 2253)
20 10:30 AM 1356 c(2.5% = 771) c(97.5% = 1946)
21 10:30 AM 7178 c(2.5% = 5193) c(97.5% = 8540)
22 10:30 AM 3919 c(2.5% = 2701) c(97.5% = 4806)
23 10:30 AM 2485 c(2.5% = 1520) c(97.5% = 3312)
24 10:30 AM 2049 c(2.5% = 1302) c(97.5% = 2618)
25 10:30 AM 2059 c(2.5% = 1258) c(97.5% = 2822)
26 10:30 AM 2762 c(2.5% = 1977) c(97.5% = 3230)
27 10:30 AM 3578 c(2.5% = 2274) c(97.5% = 4591)
28 10:30 AM 1564 c(2.5% = 919) c(97.5% = 2193)
29 10:30 AM 1483 c(2.5% = 997) c(97.5% = 1898)
30 10:30 AM 2796 c(2.5% = 2154) c(97.5% = 3307)
31 10:30 AM 2323 c(2.5% = 1784) c(97.5% = 2658)
32 10:30 AM 2579 c(2.5% = 1512) c(97.5% = 3574)
33 10:30 AM 2274 c(2.5% = 1104) c(97.5% = 3635)
34 10:30 AM 5419 c(2.5% = 3647) c(97.5% = 6891)
35 10:30 AM 3778 c(2.5% = 2289) c(97.5% = 5023)
36 10:30 AM 4349 c(2.5% = 2915) c(97.5% = 5341)
37 10:30 AM 1682 c(2.5% = 963) c(97.5% = 2382)
38 10:30 AM 2693 c(2.5% = 1861) c(97.5% = 3377)
39 10:30 AM 5214 c(2.5% = 3724) c(97.5% = 6180)
40 10:30 AM 5702 c(2.5% = 3589) c(97.5% = 7403)
41 10:30 AM 2320 c(2.5% = 1407) c(97.5% = 3248)
42 10:30 AM 2995 c(2.5% = 1656) c(97.5% = 4308)
43 10:30 AM 2400 c(2.5% = 1238) c(97.5% = 3650)
44 10:30 AM 1813 c(2.5% = 1128) c(97.5% = 2430)
45 10:30 AM 2584 c(2.5% = 1617) c(97.5% = 3497)
46 10:30 AM 3278 c(2.5% = 2428) c(97.5% = 4028)
47 10:30 AM 1071 c(2.5% = 666) c(97.5% = 1417)
48 10:30 AM 2533 c(2.5% = 1625) c(97.5% = 3226)
49 10:30 AM 3274 c(2.5% = 2029) c(97.5% = 4372)
50 10:30 AM 4365 c(2.5% = 3025) c(97.5% = 5431)
51 10:30 AM 2906 c(2.5% = 1855) c(97.5% = 3903)
52 10:30 AM 3495 c(2.5% = 2384) c(97.5% = 4403)
53 10:30 AM 2599 c(2.5% = 1567) c(97.5% = 3575)
54 10:30 AM 1927 c(2.5% = 1081) c(97.5% = 2741)
55 10:30 AM 3026 c(2.5% = 1860) c(97.5% = 4220)
56 10:30 AM 4315 c(2.5% = 2811) c(97.5% = 5637)
57 10:30 AM 3678 c(2.5% = 2465) c(97.5% = 4645)
58 10:30 AM 6207 c(2.5% = 4072) c(97.5% = 7923)
59 10:30 AM 3078 c(2.5% = 2030) c(97.5% = 3980)
60 10:30 AM 2465 c(2.5% = 1618) c(97.5% = 3215)
61 10:30 AM 3803 c(2.5% = 2366) c(97.5% = 4989)
62 10:30 AM 2856 c(2.5% = 1653) c(97.5% = 4039)
63 10:30 AM 3466 c(2.5% = 2390) c(97.5% = 4276)
64 10:30 AM 2034 c(2.5% = 1287) c(97.5% = 2750)
65 10:30 AM 2890 c(2.5% = 1945) c(97.5% = 3664)
66 10:30 AM 6128 c(2.5% = 4069) c(97.5% = 7734)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions